Bangalore, India |
Dongguan, China |
[Note: This is an archive page, last update #17: August 22, 2004. I developed this page at a time when few people knew about or understood the extent of offshoring and globalization. There are now many excellent sources for this information. -- Bob, bobpearlman@mindspring.com ]
February 4, 2004 -- Dongguan. Have you ever heard of it? It's only a city of 6.5 million people in South China. It's only the home to 15,000 international companies. It's the center of the world furniture industry and one of the great centers for the manufacturing of PC components.
I only heard of Dongguan a month ago, when I started monitoring the offshoring phenomenon. Nothing like a jobless economic recovery to disclose to the world a development that is at least 20 years in the making.
In the past 6 months the world has become increasing aware of the rising role of China and India in the world economy, a phenomenon largely spurred by international companies setting up first manufacturing plants, then call centers, then other business processes (accounting, back office), and finally knowledge work (software engineering, etc.). Offshoring has become a big political issue all over the developed world, from the USA to the UK to the European Union. Its a good thing, in my opinion, that some developing countries (India, China, Brazil) are catching up and providing new opportunities to their citizens.
But offshoring/globalization also means that once again, as in the 80s and the 90s, the advanced countries need to move up the value chain. To keep their economies thriving, they must produce higher value goods and services. Citizens of these countries, and particularly young people, can no longer succeed with just basic skills. Instead they must become knowledge workers with the full array of 21st Century Skills.
I am active in efforts to promote success for young people in the USA and so I am monitoring the "offshoring" issue closely in order to promote policies and practices that will benefit youth here, and in other countries as well. Through this web page I want to share with colleagues the articles, reports, books, and key links that I have come across that best report the "offshoring" phenomenon and its impact on education and training for young people.
Articles
(Note: Many newspapers
require you to register to see the article. Registration is normally free)
Articles on economics and productivity
The Future of Bay Area Jobs: The Impact of Offshoring and Key Trends, A.T. Kearney, July, 2004
Extended
Mass Layoffs Associated With Domestic and Overseas Relocations, First Quarter
2004, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 10, 2004
What to Move Offshore? Selecting IT Activities for Offshore Locations, A.T. Kearney, April 2004
Making
Offshore Decisions. A.T. Kearneys 2004 Offshore Location Attractiveness
Index, A.T. Kearney, April 2004
THE COMPREHENSIVE IMPACT OF OFFSHORE IT SOFTWARE AND SERVICES OUTSOURCING ON THE U.S. ECONOMY, Executive Summary (PDF), ITAA, prepared by Global Insight, March 30, 2004
Offshore Outsourcing in an Increasingly Competitive and Rapidly Changing World: A High-Tech Perspective, American Electronic Association, March 24, 2004
Global Offshoring, Report submitted by the Trades Union Congress (UK) to the UK Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), March 8, 2004
The New Exports: Office Jobs [pdf], by M. Leanne Lachman, an analysis published jointly by the Urban Land Institute and the Columbia Business School's Paul Milstein Center for Real Estate.
Globalization of IT Services and White Collar Jobs: The Next Wave of Productivity Growth [pdf], by Catherine L. Mann, Institute for International Economics, December 2003
The New Wave of Outsourcing (PDF), by Ashok Deo Bardhan and Cynthia A. Kroll, Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics, University of California, Berkeley, Fall 2003.
NEW
HORIZONS: MULTINATIONAL COMPANY INVESTMENT IN DEVELOPING ECONOMIES,
McKinsey Global Institute
(MGI), (October, 2003)
"A new report suggests that both multinational companies and developing
economies could find enormous benefits through foreign direct investment.
But global expansion has its pitfalls as well as its opportunities, and
CEOs as well as policy leaders need to understand them both."
3.3
Million US Services Jobs To Go Offshore,
Forrester Research TechStrategy Brief (for purchase only), November 2002,
by John C. McCarthy with Amy Dash, Heather Liddell, Christine Ferrusi Ross,
Bruce D. Temkin. See Research
Highlights.
This is the much quoted report from Forrester Research. Over the next 15
years, 3.3 million US services industry jobs and $136 billion in wages will
move offshore to countries like India, Russia, China, and the Philippines.
The IT industry will lead the initial overseas exodus.
Choose
to Compete: How Innovation, Investment and Productivity Can Grow U.S. Jobs
and Ensure American Competitiveness in the 21st Century (PDF).
(January 7, 2004)
"Chief executives
from the nation`s leading high technology companies today called on policymakers
to partner with them to establish new policy priorities that will increase
U.S. growth and competitiveness, ensure our nations continued technology
leadership and help create new American jobs. Faced with growing competitive
challenges and the need for decisive action to ensure U.S. economic security,
the members of the Computer Systems Policy Project (CSPP) today offered
preliminary recommendations to policymakers in Washington to strengthen
all sectors of the U.S. economy. As the U.S. encounters new global
realities policy makers face a choice: we can compete in the international
arena or we can retreat, said Craig Barrett, CEO of Intel Corporation
and chairman of CSPP. America can only grow jobs and improve its competitiveness
by choosing to compete globally, and that will require renewed focus on
innovation, education and investment.", from the full Press
Release issued by the CSSP.
Prepare
Students to Succeed in the 21st Century (June, 2003)
Read the recent report from the Partnership
for 21st Century Skills on Learning
for the 21st Century (PDF) that articulates a collective vision for
learning in the 21st century and learn how you can create a framework for
action with our accompanying MILE
Guide (PDF) (Milestones for Improving Learning and Education) and NEW
Mile
Guide Online Assessment.
Fortune
Favors the Bold, by Lester Thurow, 2004 (Harper Collins).
Review from Amazon.Com: "With Fortune Favors the Bold: What We Must
Do to Build a New and Lasting Global Prosperity, Lester Thurow follows on
his bestsellers The Zero-Sum Society and The Future of Capitalism by addressing
the path to globalization. Thurow--a Professor of Management and Economics
at MIT's Sloan School--draws uncompromising conclusions: only a bold embrace
of globalization will bring prosperity, and nations that fail to engage
in global economics will fall behind the world's dominant powers."
See video lecture on Fortune
Favors the Bold at MIT World.
Globalization
and a High-Tech Economy, by Ashok Deo Bardhan, Dwight M. Jaffee, Cynthia
Anne Kroll, Kluwer Academic Publishers; (December 2003). See press
release on "Haas School trio explores globalization, high tech",
February 11, 2004.
Outsourcing Knowledge Center, Computerworld Magazine.
McKinsey Global Institute (MGI)
The Partnership for 21st Century Skills is a unique alliance of education, business and government leaders working to fully address the education needs and challenges of work and life in the 21st century.
Chengdu, China. Chengdu, in Sichuan Province (Western China), is the site of a major new Intel plant and significant offshoring activity.
Bangalore IT. Official website of the Department of IT and Biotechnology, Government of Karnataka.
Outsourcing and India page at Rediff.Com (India) links to major stories about BPO (business process outsourcing) and IT outsourcing from the UK and the USA.
IBM Employee and Investor issues Summary Highlights. This web site, which provides information to IBM employees and retirees on pension issues, provides much information on the "Offshoring" issue.
IT Worker News is published by TechsUnite, "a project of the Communications Workers of America, AFL-CIO, in collaboration with key site partners, supporters and stakeholders." This site, while oriented towards organizing IT workers in the States, does a good job of posting news from around the world about offshoring and globalization.
Andrew Bibby Web Site. This British writer has written extensively (articles and reports) about offshoring, outsourcing, telework, and the changing Global economy.